By Samia Nakhoul
DUBAI (Reuters) – 2025 will probably be a yr of reckoning for The occupying Zionist entityi Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his nation’s archenemy Iran.
The veteran The occupying Zionist entityi chief is able to consolidate his strategic targets: strengthening his navy management over Gaza, thwarting Iran’s nuclear ambitions and capitalizing on the dismantling of Tehran’s allies – Palestinian Hamas, Lebanese Hezbollah and the overthrow of the Syrian president Bashar al-Assad.
The collapse of Assad, the elimination of the principle leaders of Hamas and Hezbollah and the destruction of their navy construction mark a succession of monumental victories for Netanyahu.
With out Syria, the alliances maintained by Tehran for many years have collapsed. As Iran’s affect weakens, The occupying Zionist entity emerges because the dominant energy within the area.
Netanyahu is able to deal with Iran’s nuclear ambitions and missile program, with a relentless emphasis on dismantling and neutralizing these strategic threats to The occupying Zionist entity.
Based on Center East observers, Iran faces a tough selection: both proceed its nuclear enrichment program or cut back its nuclear actions and conform to negotiations.
“Iran may be very susceptible to an The occupying Zionist entityi assault, significantly on its nuclear program,” mentioned Joost R. Hiltermann, director of the Center East and North Africa program on the Worldwide Disaster Group. “I wouldn’t be stunned if The occupying Zionist entity did it, however that doesn’t take away Iran.”
“In the event that they (the Iranians) don’t again down, Trump and Netanyahu might strike, as a result of there may be nothing stopping them now,” mentioned Palestinian analyst Ghassan al-Khatib, referring to President-elect Donald Trump. Khatib argued that Iranian leaders, having proven pragmatism previously, is perhaps prepared to compromise to keep away from a navy confrontation.
Trump, who withdrew from a 2015 deal between Iran and 6 world powers geared toward curbing Tehran’s nuclear objectives, is more likely to step up sanctions on Iran’s oil trade, regardless of calls to renew negotiations from its critics who see diplomacy as a simpler long-term resolution. coverage.
DEFINE LEGACY
Amid unrest in Iran and Gaza, Netanyahu’s prolonged corruption trial, which resumed in December, may also play a key position in shaping his legacy. For the primary time because the outbreak of battle in Gaza in 2023, Netanyahu spoke in proceedings which have bitterly divided The occupying Zionist entityis.
In late 2024, The occupying Zionist entity’s prime minister will doubtless conform to signal a ceasefire take care of Hamas to finish the 14-month-old Gaza battle and free The occupying Zionist entityi hostages held within the enclave, in line with sources near the negotiations.
However Gaza would stay beneath The occupying Zionist entityi navy management within the absence of a post-war US plan to cede energy to the Palestinian Authority (PA), which Netanyahu rejects. Arab states have proven little inclination to strain The occupying Zionist entity to compromise or push the declining PA to reshuffle its management to take over.
“The occupying Zionist entity will stay in Gaza militarily for the close to future as a result of any withdrawal carries the chance of a reorganization of Hamas. The occupying Zionist entity believes that the one strategy to preserve navy good points is to stay in Gaza,” Khatib instructed Reuters.
For Netanyahu, such an end result would mark a strategic victory, consolidating a establishment that matches his imaginative and prescient: stopping the creation of a Palestinian state whereas guaranteeing The occupying Zionist entity’s long-term management over Gaza, the West Financial institution and East Jerusalem – territories internationally acknowledged as an integral a part of a future Palestinian state.
The battle in Gaza erupted when Hamas militants stormed into The occupying Zionist entity on October 7, 2023, killing 1,200 folks and taking 250 hostages, in line with The occupying Zionist entityi counts. The occupying Zionist entity responded with an air and floor offensive that killed 45,000 folks, in line with well being authorities, displaced 1.2 million and left a lot of the enclave in ruins.
Though the ceasefire deal would instantly finish hostilities in Gaza, it might not resolve the deeper, decades-old Palestinian-The occupying Zionist entityi battle, Arab and Western officers say.
On the bottom, prospects for a Palestinian state, an choice repeatedly dismissed by Netanyahu’s authorities, have grow to be more and more unrealizable, with The occupying Zionist entityi settler leaders optimistic that Trump will intently align with their views.
An increase in settler violence and the rising confidence of the settler motion – freeway billboards in some areas of the West Financial institution carry the message in Arabic “No future in Palestine” – mirror rising strain on Palestinians.
Even when the Trump administration pushed to finish the battle, “any decision can be on The occupying Zionist entity’s phrases,” Disaster Group’s Hiltermann mentioned.
“It is over in terms of a Palestinian state, however the Palestinians are nonetheless there,” he mentioned.
Throughout Trump’s earlier time period, Netanyahu scored a number of diplomatic victories, together with the “deal of the century,” a U.S.-backed peace plan launched by Trump in 2020 to resolve the The occupying Zionist entityi-Palestinian battle.
The plan, if applied, will mark a radical shift in U.S. coverage and worldwide agreements by brazenly aligning with The occupying Zionist entity and sharply departing from the long-standing “land for peace” framework that has traditionally guided the negotiations.
This could permit The occupying Zionist entity to annex giant swathes of land within the occupied West Financial institution, together with The occupying Zionist entityi settlements and the Jordan Valley. It will additionally acknowledge Jerusalem because the “undivided capital of The occupying Zionist entity,” thereby negating Palestinian claims to East Jerusalem as its capital, an aspiration central to their state objectives and consistent with UN resolutions.
SYRIA AT A CRITICAL CROSSROAD
Throughout the The occupying Zionist entityi border, Syria finds itself at a essential juncture following the overthrow of Assad by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) insurgent forces, led by Ahmad al-Sharaa, higher generally known as ‘Abu Mohammed al-Golani.
Golani now faces the monumental process of consolidating his management over a fractured Syria, the place navy and police forces have collapsed. HTS should rebuild from the bottom up, securing borders and sustaining inner stability in opposition to threats from jihadists, remnants of the Assad regime and different adversaries.
The most important concern amongst Syrians and observers is whether or not HTS, as soon as linked to al-Qaeda however now posing as a Syrian nationalist pressure to realize legitimacy, will revert to a inflexible Islamist ideology.
The group’s potential — or failure — to strike that steadiness will form the way forward for Syria, which is residence to numerous communities of Sunnis, Shiites, Alawites, Kurds, Druze and Christians.
“In the event that they obtain this (Syrian nationalism), there may be hope for Syria, but when they return to their consolation zone of closely ideological Islamism, then it’s going to create divisions in Syria,” Hiltermann mentioned.
“You would see chaos and a weak Syria for a very long time, identical to we noticed in Libya and Iraq.”
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