School Basketball Greatest Bets Right this moment: Odds, predictions and picks for Saturday December 14

Right this moment’s greatest faculty basketball bets:

Monday by Friday introduced us a complete of 66 faculty basketball video games. Saturday brings us 84. Video games are unfold out all through the day, however as is my coverage with the article, I do not handicap video games that may be launched as bets till 4 or 5 PM ET, relying on how early I can begin with the cardboard and write.

This eliminates a lot of video games right this moment, as there are a whole lot of each day video games, however the betting alternatives will at all times be there with this sort of quantity.

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The tracing paper is here. 2023-24 for reference is here.

This text will run from Monday to Saturday. The strains might be from DraftKings, as they’re extensively out there to readers. Store for the very best costs.

screams for Bart Torvik, Eric Haslamand Ken PomeroyThese are my three main sources for info when disabled.

Test the newest College basketball odds For authorized US sportsbooks throughout the nation and our Vegas odds For those who share the mandate with us right here at VSiN. And in addition giving College basketball betting splits Search for these or one thing else College basketball games today Have your curiosity.

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publication.

Providence Friars (-3, 129) vs. St. Bonaventure Pony

5pm ET

A impartial tilt between Windfall and St. Bonaventure kicks issues off within the 5 p.m. ET window. Windfall performed three video games with star Bryce Hopkins returning they usually went 2-1 with a convincing win over BYU and an in depth convention highway win over DePaul in a sport wherein they have been the underdog.

The Friars have performed a extremely robust schedule during the last six video games, taking part in a whole lot of prime 100 groups. Windfall has already performed 5 video games in both Quarter 1 or Quarter 2. St. Bonaventure has performed two video games, because the Bonnies have performed a a lot weaker schedule so far.

I do not just like the statistical profile of St. Bonaventure. Their 55.6% 2P% is pushed by rim manufacturing in opposition to weaker groups and mid-range soar capturing. They’re capturing 42.5% on Shut Twos with a shot share of 27.1%, which is way greater than I want to see. For a crew that ranks 216th in 3P%, I do not suppose their true expertise stage on the jumper can keep that top a proportion. And since they’re taking part in higher groups, like tonight, I anticipate their Shot Share (35.8%) and FG% (65.5%) on Shut Twos to lower. St. Bonaventure performed the 288th schedule per Torvik and 308th per KenPom utilizing internet score.

Windfall likes to shoot away from the three, getting one on 49% of its shot makes an attempt. This makes them a considerably high-variance crew given the low variety of possessions they play on every evening, however Hopkins is a scrappy participant who can create some higher appears and in addition extra probabilities on the rim.

The Friars have the benefit on the glass in each areas on this sport and still have a shot share in opposition to Shut Twos of 33%, whereas holding opponents to only 52.2% on these kinds of makes an attempt. I feel they may dominate the inside right here and their three-point capturing has an opportunity to enhance as we go.

It was additionally reported this morning that St. Bonaventure PJ Dasonte Brown is out. He averaged 11.3 PPG and three.8 APG.

Selection: Divine Windfall -3

St. Francis (PA) Red Flash at Niagara Purple Eagles (-4, 137)

6 PM ET

We dig deep into the portray in search of this, the place Saint Francis (Pennsylvania) and Niagara come collectively in western New York. These are two unhealthy basketball groups, however there are a number of the reason why I like Niagara on this sport.

First, let’s begin with context clues within the betting market. This isn’t a sport that leisure bettors are enthusiastic about and we’ve not seen the road transfer towards the guests, despite the fact that their power of schedule is a lot better per Torvik and dramatically higher per KenPom. We see a whole lot of line motion generated by SOS this time of yr and we do not get that right here.

Second, these are two very unhealthy defensive groups, however Niagara is at residence. These two groups like to swing from 3, because the Purple Eagles have a 46.3% 3P price which ranks 54th within the nation, whereas St. Francis has a 43.8% 3P price which ranks 87th. In a sport that can function a whole lot of 3-point capturing, I’d prioritize the house crew , particularly since Saint Francis has not confronted a DI opponent since December 1st.

Third, opponents hearth 65% of their shut vary strikes from the pink mild. The power of the opposition could have one thing to do with it, however I feel Niagara might handle to get inside in the event that they do. Saint Francis might deliver again ace guard Talbert or massive man Valentino Pinedo right here. I could not discover any updates, however even when they did, these two guys have not performed shortly. Pinedo is definitely the very best rebounder in SFU.

Lastly, Niagara is a 75% free throw capturing crew. If they arrive in late, I feel they will take this off the tape.

Choose: Niagara -4

Bowling Green Falcons at UMKC Ross (-3.5, 142)

8pm ET

Bowling Inexperienced faces UMKC in a battle of groups which have had disappointing seasons so far. BG is simply 4-5 after its first 20-win season since 2020 final yr. Now it appears like second-year head coach Todd Simon is making an attempt to outline his rotations, however I feel he is shut. Central Michigan switch Derek Butler simply dropped 35 factors in opposition to Morgan State and has scored at the least 15 factors in 5 straight video games. JUCO switch Javontae Campbell is averaging over 15 PPG and has produced loads of additional possessions with 3.1 steals per sport. One other JUCO switch, Marcus Johnson, has scored greater than 19 factors in 4 of the 9 video games to this point.

Simon’s Falcons ranked fifth in shot share on Shut Twos at 47.7% final season. They’re capturing 42.6% this season, so that they have not reached final yr’s stage but, however they’re getting there. UMKC has allowed opponents to shoot 70.5% on Shut Twos this season, which ranks 358th out of 364 Division I groups.

In the meantime, UMKC’s 22.2% stake in Shut Twos is the bottom within the nation. I actually suppose BG has an enormous benefit in each makes an attempt and effectivity on this sport. The Roos shoot a ton of three pictures as a result of they don’t have any semblance of offense, they usually’re capturing simply 29.5% on these makes an attempt.

Bowling Inexperienced ought to win the turnover battle right here and completely win the shot choice battle, as UMKC is not attending to the rim and has allowed opponents to shoot practically 61% in 2 seconds.

Choose: Bowling Inexperienced +3.5