I had one other plus-.500 week within the convention match, though I hoped I may make at the very least one Energy 4 convention recreation. The 5-4 mark places my season report at 127-116-5 ATS (52.3%) for school soccer as we push into bowl video games and the playoffs. For the remainder of the season, I will be posting my greatest bets on a weekly foundation, overlaying video games Thursday via Wednesday every time. This week, I will simply be breaking down every set of video games scheduled via December 18th. I’ve researched every of them extensively, so I will share my opinion on every. I do not simply depend on VSiN Analytics Reports Now we have run weekly all through the season but additionally all of the bowl preparations I’ve accomplished and can proceed to place in place. Benefit from the inaugural bowl video games this weekend, in addition to the annual Military-Navy Bowl. Listed below are the very best school soccer bets for subsequent week.
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Tribute to the Veterans Bowl
Saturday, December 15 at 9:00 PM ET
Now we have a 6-6 bowl to begin the season, with South Alabama assembly Western Michigan in Montgomery, Alabama. I’ve included this recreation on my checklist of South Alabama regional highlights, as it’s performed in South Alabama. The streak opened in double digits however has since dropped to Jaguars -7. The explanation for this has not been formally said, however one ought to know that it’s a results of the situation of South Alabama QB Geo Lopez, who will seemingly miss the sport because of harm. He is been a giant a part of the offense this 12 months, accounting for over 3,000 yards and 25 TDs. His loss is important, and I would not be stunned to see the road drop additional earlier than Saturday.
Recall that in bowl video games between 1992 and 2024 through which shutout strains had been greater than 4 factors away from the primary line, the crew the road moved towards was 40-25-1 ATS (61.5%). Head coach Main Applewhite’s squad has struggled within the minor league favourite position this season, going 1-3 SU and ATS as single-digit chalk. In the meantime, Western Michigan needed to win the ultimate recreation of the season towards EMU to succeed in its first bowl recreation in three seasons. I believe they would be the most motivated crew right here, and Lopez’s harm will probably be an excessive amount of to get them off the seven level line.
BEST COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTS: I am Going to Western Michigan +7 to begin ball season
Saturday, December 15 at 3:00 PM ET
General it can’t be argued that Military had a significantly better season than Navy. Mixed with an 11-1 to 8-3 report, the Knights are convention champions and had been a risk to characterize the five-team pool within the playoffs. The one loss was by the hands of an excellent Notre Dame crew. So why are oddsmakers afraid to maneuver the road towards Navy to the 7-point lead regardless that 95% of the deal with and 92% of bets at DraftKings are approaching Military? Might it’s that they’re taking a facet on this recreation and that facet is the Navy?
For me, motivation is vital on this recreation yearly, and motivation is usually derived from the factors unfold within the competitors. The Navy thinks it is fairly good too and can seemingly use the motivation of being an enormous underdog to the Military as gasoline. Because it stands, the underdogs are 9-4 ATS on this matchup. I additionally like the truth that since these groups play comparable assaults, I really admire the truth that Navy has a barely higher steadiness on offense, with a extra dynamic passing assault. Everybody is aware of Military QB Bryson Each day, however much less well-known is Navy’s Blake Horvath, who threw for 277 extra yards than Each day in a single fewer recreation, all whereas accounting for 11 passing TDs and 24 passing TDs total. He is greater than able to retaining the Midshipmen on this recreation.
Finest school soccer bets: I will take Navy +6.5 vs. Military
Jackson State in South Carolina
Celebration bowl
Saturday, December 14 at 12:00 PM ET
From the sounds of it, each are Jackson State’s prime quarterbacks as nicely, as South Carolina State’s Eric Phoenix will miss the Celebration Bowl because of harm. Meaning 31 of JSU’s uncounted TDs, and 22 for SCSU that have to be changed. FCS groups do not have the identical bench wealth as most FBS groups, so the duty of changing key gamers is much more essential. To not point out the truth that the three gamers you talked about are twin threats, which suggests in the event that they weren’t there, would offenses change fully? On the fly? Each groups even have nice defensive power, with Jackson State permitting simply 18.8 PPG and South Carolina State simply 22.7. There is no such thing as a fast-paced crew offensively. This appears to be like just like the form of robust contest, the place defenses have the benefit.
Finest school soccer bets: I will go underneath 54.5 within the Celebration Bowl
Fresco bowl
Tuesday, December 17, 9:00 PM ET
Do your self a favor and discover West Virginia’s switch portal roster earlier than betting on the Mountaineers on this contest. I am not saying the entire lengthy checklist will come out of this recreation, however plenty of what occurred in that regard was as a result of sacking of coach Neil Brown. With an interim coach and a protracted checklist of transfers, the longer term is actually not now for WVU. The place does the motivation to beat Memphis come from?
I am not stunned to see some huge cash in DK over the Tigers, who’ve received their final three bowl video games behind Ryan Silverfield, each SU and ATS, all by double-digit margins. His crew is using excessive after pulling off an enormous upset win because the crew was a 12.5-point underdog at Tulane to shut out the season. I additionally do not suppose you possibly can ignore that the Mountaineers are 0-6 SU and ATS towards the six bowl groups they’ve performed this season, 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS towards the others.
Finest school soccer bets: Let’s put the three factors with Memphis
Boca Raton Bowl
Wednesday, December 18, 5:30 PM ET
There’s a very lengthy checklist of switch portals for Western Kentucky once more this season, and it consists of beginning QB Caden Veltkamp. This has occurred on a number of events throughout coach Tyson Helton’s tenure at WKU, and for no matter motive, has brought on most of them to stay round within the bowl recreation, together with final 12 months in a surprising come-from-behind win over Outdated Dominion.
No matter how this example ends, it’s clear that the largest loss on this recreation will probably be on the opposite facet, as heart Alonza Barnett III will miss the sport with a knee harm. How a lot does Barnett imply to the Dukes? Nicely, he was chargeable for over 3,000 yards of offense, in addition to 33 TDs. His TD-int ratio of 26-4 could be an enormous loss, as turnovers can typically determine bowl video games. The worst half about shedding him is that his crew hasn’t had a lot of an opportunity to play with out him this season, as his two different midfielders have solely made two move makes an attempt. JMU does not have a lot momentum right here both, having misplaced its final two video games of the season. They’re 3-5 ATS of their final eight contests. I do not belief the Dukes to place up factors towards a program that has scored 47 PPG in a 3-0 win over SU and ATS in its final three video games.
Finest school soccer bets: I will go +9 with Western Kentucky
LA Bowl
Wednesday, December 18, 9:00 PM ET
California acquired the unsolicited information that QB Fernando Mendoza had entered his title into the switch portal on Wednesday morning. To make issues worse, we had been left to watch the standing of backup Chandler Rogers, as he suffered a season-ending harm. Primarily based on the information, the entire dropped from 51.5 to 50.5 on instant response. Was that sufficient after Mendoza threw for over 3,000 yards this season? It does not appear that strategy to me, and I am confused as to why 93% of DraftKings sellers are backing the Over for the LA Bowl vs. UNLV.
Cal has been an underdog kind crew for many of my current reminiscence, going 7-3-2 underneath 12 video games in ’24. The Bears’ protection has allowed simply 22.2 PPG this season and has held six groups to 17 or fewer factors. UNLV has been a prolific crew total however has regressed in its final three video games and scored simply seven factors within the season finale at Boise State. Did I point out that the Runnin’ Rebels will probably be with out their head coach for this recreation as nicely? Sure, Barry Odom has discovered that the grass is outwardly greener in Bordeaux.
From a statistical standpoint, I do know Cal’s protection is revered. I believe UNLV is underrated. In actual fact, when it comes to my “efficient stats,” Cal is giving up 13.9 PPG and holding groups 12.8 factors under their offensive averages. UNLV’s precise allowance is 16.9 PPG, which is 9.8 under common. Doing the mathematics and incorporating efficient offensive/defensive stats, my mannequin calls for less than 46.6 factors to be scored on this contest, which is nicely under the 50.5 listed.
Finest school soccer bets: I will be underneath 50.5 on the Cal-UNLV LA Bowl
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