NBA High Picks Based mostly on Betting Splits, Energy Rankings and Tendencies for Friday, December 13

Immediately’s NBA Betting Tendencies:

The next NBA betting traits are a set of analytical information, betting programs and power scores featured on VSiN and certified for the NBA video games of Friday, December 13, 2024. This report is supposed to emulate the method that Steve Makinen and different members of the VSiN Analytics staff endure when handicapping every day’s NBA board. 

 

AJ’s Angles

These are the highest NBA betting traits and programs for immediately’s video games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen. 

* Over the full is on runs of seven straight in final seven and 13-2 within the final 15 of the IND-PHI sequence
Development Match: PLAY OVER the full in IND-PHI (o/u at 228) 

*NBA house groups coming off any sport by which they beat the purpose unfold by 20 factors or extra are 261-205 SU however 202-252-12 ATS (44.5%) over the past six seasons. The worst state of affairs for these groups comes in opposition to divisional rivals, 36-63 ATS.
System Match (FADE): DENVER (-6.5 vs. LAC) 

* Underneath the full was 27-13 (67.5%) for the reason that begin of final season when each groups in an NBA matchup have been in the identical third in 8+ Days sport situation…two rested groups.
System Matches: PLAY UNDER in all eight video games immediately 

* CHICAGO is 11-2-1 ATS within the final 14 video games versus Charlotte
Development Match: PLAY CHICAGO (-6.5 vs. CHA)

Methods Utilizing NBA DraftKings Betting Splits Information

One of the touted options on the VSiN.com web site, and a function that we consider to be a implausible useful resource for bettors is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we’ve constructed using the information that DraftKings so graciously offers to us, detailing the breakdowns of the cash and ticket splits for level spreads, cash traces, and totals. 

In an article printed on the VSiN.com web site on opening day, Steve Makinen outlined 14 completely different systematic methods for efficiently utilizing the DK Betting Splits Information that developed within the final two seasons. Listed here are the programs and qualifying performs for immediately’s video games as of 12:30 p.m. ET. These can and can change, so proceed to trace and qualify the programs up till tip-off for greatest utilization. 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #2: When 59% or extra of the deal with has been on the highway facet of an ATS wager, this “tremendous” majority group has gone 489-433 ATS (53%) over the past season-and-a-half. This has been a really constant system since I first discovered it, and for its simplicity, pretty profitable. Bear in mind, deal with is the full sum of money on a sport. When a very good portion of the general cash is on a highway staff within the NBA, it wins as a rule.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): WASHINGTON, INDIANA, PHOENIX, SAN ANTONIO

DK NBA Betting Splits system #4: In one other considerably uncommon state of affairs, however when there was a majority deal with backing the staff with fewer wins on the season within the NBA over the past 1-1/2 seasons, that group produced a 156-117 ATS report (57.1%). This lot of 273 video games was solely 13.1% of the full pattern measurement.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): WASHINGTON, MINNESOTA, DENVER 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #6: In NBA non-Convention video games (East versus West) of the final season and a half, DK tremendous majority deal with teams of 62% or higher have been profitable, as they’re 242-201 ATS (54.6%). In case you contemplate that the general majority numbers confirmed a 51.8% success price, they have been 2.8% improved on these more-rare contests.
System Match (PLAY): MEMPHIS

DK NBA Betting Splits system #7: The quantity 63% or greater has been a key super-majority quantity in non-divisional convention video games over the past season-and-a-half, with deal with teams of that measurement boasting a 280-233 ATS report, good for 54.6%. That is one other 2.8% enchancment on the general majority figures.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): WASHINGTON, INDIANA, MINNESOTA, DENVER, PHOENIX, SAN ANTONIO 

The general numbers proven earlier detailed that majority bettors have received considerably on cash line wagering this season. Listed here are some extra detailed specifics, with some dropping angles too: 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #8: There was an enormous disparity of success ranges for majority teams on deal with once they again the house or highway staff on cash line wagers. On house groups, these majorities have gone 782-357 over the past 1-1/2 seasons however for -131.98 models and an ROI of -11.6%. On highway groups, these majorities have gone 571-358 however for +23.75 models and an ROI of +2.6%. This 14.2% disparity warrants fading ML majorities on house groups and backing ML majorities once they go for highway groups till one thing definitively modifications.
System Matches (FADE ALL on ML): HOME TEAMS – CLEVELAND, PHILADELPHIA, MINNESOTA, MEMPHIS, CHICAGO, DENVER 

These final 4 programs contain totals.

DK NBA Betting Splits system #13: Among the finest, easiest, and most frequent angles I’ve been in a position to uncover is when a majority of deal with bettors have been backing the Underneath in an NBA sport. I informed you earlier that the majority NBA bettors love taking Overs. When any majority quantity have favored the Underneath choice over the past year-and-a-half, the outcomes have been robust, with Underneath the full on these video games going 263-205, good for 56.2%.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): WSH-CLE, LAL-MIN, LAC-DEN

DK NBA Betting Splits system #14: There was some first rate success for the variety of bets majorities once they don’t get too closely invested. In reality, majorities on both facet of the full (Over or Underneath) of 57% or much less have gone 235-195 (54.7%) for +20.5 models and an ROI of +4.8% since January 2023.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OVER – LAC-DEN, SAS-POR
UNDER – WSH-CLE, BKN-MEM, CHA-CHI, PHX-UTA 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #16: Majority Underneath bettors have been profitable when sticking to their weapons regardless of DraftKings elevating the full off of its opening quantity. These Underneath majorities have gone 106-71 (59.9%) since January ’23 by not getting baited into this totals lure.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): WSH-CLE, LAC-DEN

Schedule Conditions Essential for NBA Handicapping

The next NBA betting traits are an expanded model of the article printed on this 12 months’s VSiN NBA Betting Guide, detailing scheduling conditions by which groups have proven definitive patterns over the previous few seasons. Sometimes, there are causes that groups carry out at various ranges based mostly on their schedules, whether or not that be from the quantity of relaxation they’ve gotten earlier than a sport, how fatigued they’re from a string of video games, or how they take care of accidents/workloads based mostly upon the schedule pressures.

We will likely be monitoring 90 prime scheduling conditions all season lengthy!

* Dwelling groups enjoying on 3+ Days Relaxation are 46-20 SU and 41-22-3 ATS (65.1%) internet hosting groups enjoying a third Straight Highway sport over the past three seasons.
12/13: UTAH vs. Phoenix
Development Match (PLAY): UTAH (+8 vs. PHX)

* Dwelling groups on 3+ Days Relaxation are 26-11 SU and 23-7-7 ATS (76.7%) versus groups enjoying on a 4th Straight Highway sport over the past three seasons.
12/13: UTAH vs. Phoenix
Development Match (PLAY): UTAH (+8 vs. PHX)

* UNDER the full was 60-30 (66.7%) final season when one of many groups in a matchup was on a 4th Sport in 10+ Days schedule situation and the opponent was enjoying a third in 8+ Days sport, in different phrases, two fairly rested groups.
System Matches: PLAY UNDER in all eight video games immediately 

* UNDER the full was 27-13 (67.5%) for the reason that begin of final season when each groups in an NBA matchup have been in the identical third in 8+ Days sport situation…two rested groups.
System Matches: PLAY UNDER in all eight video games immediately 

* UNDER the full was 22-8 (73.3%) for the reason that begin of final season when the house staff was enjoying a third Straight Dwelling sport versus a highway staff on 4th in 10+ Days situation.
12/13: Underneath the full in CHICAGO-CHARLOTTE
Development Match (PLAY UNDER): CHA-CHI (o/u at 232) 

* UNDER the full was 15-3 (83.3%) final season when the house staff was enjoying a third Dwelling in 8+ Days sport versus a highway staff on 4th in 10+ Days situation.
12/13: Underneath the full in CHICAGO-CHARLOTTE
Development Match (PLAY UNDER): CHA-CHI (o/u at 232)

 * WASHINGTON is on 1-14 SU and 3-12 ATS skid when enjoying a third in 8+ Days sport
12/13: Fade WASHINGTON at Cleveland
Development Match (FADE): WASHINGTON (+17 at CLE)

NBA Workforce Energy Programs

The next handicapping info particulars 5 NBA betting development programs for groups based mostly on numerous staff power indicators or line eventualities. Until famous, these are from the final 4 NBA seasons.

NBA Workforce Energy Betting System #4:
Double-digit NBA favorites in non-conference video games have gone 189-36 SU however simply 104-118-3 ATS (46.8%) over the past 4 seasons.
System Match (FADE): MEMPHIS (-10 vs. BKN) 

NBA Workforce Energy Betting System #5:
Double-digit NBA video games have produced some definitive outcomes on totals over the past 4 seasons, relying upon what kind of matchup it was. In divisional video games that includes double-digit traces, Underneath the full has gone 92-78 (54.1%). In non-conference video games, Over the full was 167-143 (53.9%). And eventually, in non-divisional convention video games, Over the full was 236-176 (57.3%).
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): WSH-CLE (o/u at 232), BKN-MEM (o/u at 230) 

NBA Excessive Stats Subsequent Sport Programs

These NBA betting development programs seek for excessive statistical performances in NBA video games and element the outcomes of the follow-up sport for the groups. These programs are from the final 4 seasons until famous. 

135 factors in a win is a staff rating to observe for
Groups that received their final sport whereas scoring 135 or extra factors are on a 208-122 SU however 147-177-6 ATS (45.4%) skid within the follow-up contest when favored. The report versus divisional foes amongst these video games is 30-33-1 ATS.
System Matches (FADE ALL): MEMPHIS (-10 vs. BKN), DENVER (-6.5 vs. LAC)

Rout wins are a warning signal for subsequent contest for hosts
NBA house groups coming off any sport by which they beat the purpose unfold by 20 factors or extra are 261-205 SU however 202-252-12 ATS (44.5%) over the past 6 seasons.  The worst state of affairs for these groups comes in opposition to divisional rivals, 36-63 ATS.
System Match (FADE): DENVER (-6.5 vs. LAC) 

Uncommon taking pictures efficiency programs
NBA groups which have made 50% or extra of their 3PT area aim makes an attempt in a contest have responded the subsequent outing by going simply 249-263 SU and 227-279-6 ATS (44.9%) within the subsequent sport over the past 4 seasons.
System Match (FADE): UTAH (+8 vs PHX)

Equally, NBA groups which have made 20 or extra 3PT area targets in a sport have struggled the subsequent outing, going simply 270-252 SU and 234-275-11 ATS (46%) the subsequent sport over the past 4 seasons.
System Match (FADE): UTAH (+8 vs. PHX) 

NBA Streak Programs

The next handicapping info particulars 9 NBA betting traits for groups on successful or dropping streaks of at the least 4 video games within the NBA.

NO QUALIFYING STREAK PLAYS TODAY 

Immediately’s NBA Energy Rankings

The next NBA betting traits are taken from immediately’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS web page beneath the NBA tab on VSiN.com. Listed by staff, present line, and distinction between score and present line (in parenthesis). 

Immediately’s High 2 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS in response to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Rankings Matches:
1. LA CLIPPERS +6.5 (+2.1)
2. UTAH +8 (+0.3) 

Immediately’s High 3 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES in response to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Rankings Matches:
1. MINNESOTA -9 (+2.6)
2. MEMPHIS -10 (+2.4)
3. SAN ANTONIO -3 (+1.2)

Immediately’s High 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS in response to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Rankings Matches:
1. WASHINGTON +17 (+6.2)
2. BROOKLYN +10 (+2.6)
3. LA CLIPPERS +6.5 (+1.9) 

Immediately’s High 3 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES in response to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Rankings Matches:
1. MINNESOTA -9 (+1.6)
2. PHOENIX -8 (+1.4)
3. PHILADELPHIA -6.5 (+0.2) 

Immediately’s High 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER in response to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Rankings Matches:
1. PHX-UTA OVER 231.5 (+3.6)
2. LAC-DEN OVER 227.5 (+1.3)
3. WSH-CLE OVER 232 (+0.5) 

Immediately’s High 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER in response to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Rankings Matches:
1. IND-PHI UNDER 228 (-1.1)
2. BKN-MEM UNDER 230 (-0.7)
3. SAS-POR UNDER 225 (-0.6) 

Immediately’s High 2 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS in response to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Rankings Matches:
1. LA CLIPPERS +6.5 (+1.9)
2. UTAH +8 (+0.1) 

Immediately’s High 3 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES in response to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Rankings Matches:
1. MINNESOTA -9 (+3.4)
2. PHILADELPHIA -6.5 (+2.3)
3. CLEVELAND -17 (+2.1) 

Immediately’s High 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER in response to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Rankings Matches:
1. PHX-UTA OVER 231.5 (+2.3)
2. SAS-POR OVER 225 (+1.3)
3. CHA-CHI OVER 232 (+0.1) 

Immediately’s High 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER in response to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Rankings Matches:
1. IND-PHI UNDER 228 (-1.3)
2. BKN-MEM UNDER 230 (-0.7)
3. WSH-CLE UNDER 232 (-0.4) 

High Every day Head-to-Head Collection NBA Betting Tendencies

Listed here are the highest head-to-head sequence NBA betting traits in play for all of immediately’s video games:

(501) WASHINGTON at (502) CLEVELAND
* CLEVELAND has lined 5 straight ATS when internet hosting Washington
Development Match: PLAY CLEVELAND ATS 

(503) INDIANA at (504) PHILADELPHIA
* Over the full is on runs of seven straight within the final seven and 13-2 within the final 15 of the IND-PHI sequence
Development Match: PLAY OVER the full 

(507) BROOKLYN at (508) MEMPHIS
* BROOKLYN is 4-1 ATS within the final 5 video games versus Memphis
Development Match: PLAY BROOKLYN ATS

(509) CHARLOTTE at (510) CHICAGO
* CHICAGO is 11-2-1 ATS within the final 14 video games versus Charlotte
Development Match: PLAY CHICAGO ATS 

(511) LA CLIPPERS at (512) DENVER
* Underdogs are 6-0 ATS within the final six of the LAC-DEN sequence
Development Match: PLAY LA CLIPPERS ATS 

(513) PHOENIX at (514) UTAH
* Over the full has hit in 5 straight video games between PHX and UTA
Development Match: PLAY OVER the full 

(515) SAN ANTONIO at (516) PORTLAND
* Over the full is 6-2 within the final eight of the SAS-POR sequence
Development Match: PLAY OVER the full