NBA Prime Picks Primarily based on Betting Splits, Energy Scores and Tendencies for Monday, January 6

Immediately’s NBA Betting Tendencies:

The next NBA betting tendencies are a group of analytical information, betting programs and energy rankings featured on VSiN and certified for the NBA video games of Monday, January 6, 2025. This report is supposed to emulate the method that Steve Makinen and different members of the VSiN Analytics group bear when handicapping every day’s NBA board. 

 

AJ’s Angles

These are the highest NBA betting tendencies and programs for as we speak’s video games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen. 

* Underneath the overall is 9-1 within the final 10 video games when SAS visits Chicago
Pattern Match: PLAY UNDER the overall in SAS-CHI (o/u at 236.5) 

* Underneath the overall is on a 63-23-1 (73.3%) within the final 87 when one of many groups in a matchup was on a 4th Sport in 10+ Days schedule situation and the opponent was enjoying a One Day Relaxation sport.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): PHX-PHI (o/u at 223.5) 

*NBA house groups coming off any sport by which they beat the purpose unfold by 20 factors or extra are 264-208 SU however 205-255-12 ATS (44.6%) during the last 6 seasons.  The worst state of affairs for these groups comes towards divisional rivals, 36-63 ATS.
System Matches (FADE ALL): DETROIT (-6.5 vs. POR), PHILADELPHIA (-3.5 vs. PHX), SACRAMENTO (-3.5 vs. MIA)

* Groups having misplaced their final 4 video games or extra have been a stable wager when they’re a succesful offensive group, as these scoring 114 PPG or extra are on a 68-77 SU and 80-63-3 ATS (55.9%) surge.
System Match (PLAY): DALLAS (+5 at MEM)

Methods Utilizing NBA DraftKings Betting Splits Information

Probably the most touted options on the VSiN.com web site, and a characteristic that we consider to be a unbelievable useful resource for bettors is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we’ve constructed using the information that DraftKings so graciously gives to us detailing the breakdowns of the cash and ticket splits for level spreads, cash strains, and totals. 

In an article revealed on the VSiN.com web site on opening day, Steve Makinen outlined 14 totally different systematic methods for efficiently utilizing the DK Betting Splits Information that developed within the final two seasons. Listed here are the programs and qualifying performs for as we speak’s video games as of 11:20 a.m. ET. These can and can change, so proceed to trace and qualify the programs up till tip-off for finest utilization.

DK NBA Betting Splits system #1: When 63% or extra of the deal with was on the aspect of a house group enjoying as a 4-point favourite or much less (or as an underdog) on an ATS wager, this “tremendous” majority group has gone 94-75 ATS (55.6%). It is a pretty worthwhile system that the general public appears to get proper persistently.  Should you see practically 2/3 of the deal with backing a number in an anticipated aggressive NBA sport this season, it’s a stable guess to observe it.
System Match (PLAY): SACRAMENTO 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #2: When 59% or extra of the deal with has been on the street aspect of an ATS wager, this “tremendous” majority group has gone 489-433 ATS (53%) during the last season-and-a-half. This has been a really constant system since I first discovered it, and for its simplicity, pretty profitable. Bear in mind, deal with is the overall sum of money on a sport. When a superb portion of the general cash is on a street group within the NBA, it wins most of the time.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): MILWAUKEE, INDIANA, SAN ANTONIO 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #4: In one other considerably uncommon state of affairs, when there was a majority deal with backing the group with fewer wins on the season within the NBA during the last 1-1/2 seasons, that group produced a 156-117 ATS report (57.1%). This lot of 273 video games was solely 13.1% of the overall pattern measurement.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): PHILADELPHIA, MINNESOTA

DK NBA Betting Splits system #5: Regarding variety of bets. When 70% or extra of the variety of bets has been on a house aspect of an ATS wager since January 2023, this “tremendous” majority group has gone simply 60-86 ATS (41.1%), effectively beneath the general efficiency of all majorities.
System Match (FADE): SACRAMENTO 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #6: In NBA non-Convention video games (East versus West) of the final season and a half, DK tremendous majority deal with teams of 62% or higher have been profitable, as they’re 242-201 ATS (54.6%). Should you contemplate that the general majority numbers confirmed a 51.8% success charge, they have been 2.8% improved in these more-rare contests.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): DETROIT, SAN ANTONIO, SACRAMENTO

DK NBA Betting Splits system #7: The quantity 63% or greater has been a key super-majority quantity in non-divisional convention video games during the last season-and-a-half, with deal with teams of that measurement boasting a 280-233 ATS report, good for 54.6%. That is one other 2.8% enchancment on the general majority figures.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): NEW YORK, MILWAUKEE, INDIANA 

The general numbers proven earlier detailed that majority bettors have gained considerably on cash line wagering this season. Listed here are some extra detailed specifics, with some dropping angles too: 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #9: When the bulk cash line deal with was on a group in a divisional matchup final season, this majority group went 177-84 outright on deal with for +30 items, an ROI of 11.5%. This ROI is a notable enchancment over all different matchups.
System Match (PLAY): DALLAS ML

DK NBA Betting Splits system #11: When the bulk deal with was on street underdogs for a cash line wager during the last 1-1/2 season, this majority group has finished effectively, going 86-138 however for +19.67 items and an ROI of +8.8%. It takes persistence to wager one thing that wins solely 38% of the time, however the reward is there.
System Match (PLAY): DALLAS ML 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #12: cash line majorities on double-digit street favorites have squandered their bankrolls since January 2023. These majority deal with teams are 97-22 SU however for -46.6 items, an ROI of -39.2%. Whereas majority variety of bets teams have gone 101-22 SU however for -43.6 items, an ROI of -35.4%. We’ll advocate fading these performs till one thing adjustments, as backing large street chalk could be a very dangerous technique within the NBA.
System Match (FADE): INDIANA ML 

These final three programs contain totals. 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #13: Probably the greatest, easiest, and most frequent angles I’ve been capable of uncover is when a majority of deal with bettors have been backing the Underneath in an NBA sport. I instructed you earlier that the majority NBA bettors love taking Overs. When any majority quantity have favored the Underneath choice during the last year-and-a-half, the outcomes have been robust, with Underneath the overall on these video games going 263-205, good for 56.2%.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): POR-DET, DAL-MEM, MIA-SAC 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #14: There was some first rate success for variety of bets majorities after they don’t get too closely invested. The truth is, majorities on both aspect of the overall (Over or Underneath) of 57% or much less have gone 235-195 (54.7%) for +20.5 items and an ROI of +4.8% since January ’23.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OVER – SAS-CHI
UNDER – DAL-MEM 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #15: The common NBA sport whole since January of ’23 has been a contact below 228. In NBA video games with “low” totals, or these lower than 220, majority deal with bettors have gone a powerful 226-198 (53.3%), whereas majority variety of bets teams are a bit higher at 234-194 (54.7%). Each teams have confirmed worthwhile no matter which aspect of the overall they’ve chosen.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OVER – ORL-NYK, LAC-MIN

Schedule Conditions Essential for NBA Handicapping

The next NBA betting tendencies are an expanded model of the article revealed on this 12 months’s VSiN NBA Betting Guide, detailing scheduling conditions by which groups have proven definitive patterns over the previous few seasons. Usually, there are causes that groups carry out at various ranges primarily based on their schedules, whether or not that be from the quantity of relaxation they’ve gotten earlier than a sport, how fatigued they’re from a string of video games, or how they cope with accidents/workloads primarily based upon the schedule pressures. 

We shall be monitoring 90 high scheduling conditions all season lengthy! 

* Hosts enjoying in an A2H b2b sport situation are 19-32 SU and 18-32-1 ATS (36%) because the begin of final season internet hosting groups enjoying on One Day Relaxation.
1/6: Fade SACRAMENTO vs. Miami
System Match (FADE): SACRAMENTO (-3.5 vs. MIA) 

* Underneath the overall was 110-82-1 (57.3%) during the last three seasons when the street group was on One Day Relaxation and the host was enjoying a third House in 4 Days sport.
1/6: Underneath the overall in DETROIT-PORTLAND
System Match (PLAY UNDER): POR-DET (o/u at 225.5)

* OVER the overall was 52-40 (56.5%) during the last two seasons when the house group was on OneDayRest and the street group was enjoying a H2A b2b sport.
1/6: Over the overall in NEW YORK-ORLANDO
System Match (PLAY OVER): ORL-NYK (o/u at 210)

* Over the overall is 32-19 (62.7%) because the begin of final season when the house group was on A2H b2b and the street group was enjoying a One Day Relaxation sport.

1/6: Over the overall in SACRAMENTO-MIAMI
System Match (PLAY OVER): MIA-SAC (o/u at 223) 

* Underneath the overall is on a 63-23-1 (73.3%) within the final 87 when one of many groups in a matchup was on a 4th Sport in 10+ Days schedule situation and the opponent was enjoying a One Day Relaxation sport.
1/6: Underneath the overall in PHOENIX-PHILADELPHIA
System Match (PLAY UNDER): PHX-PHI (o/u at 223.5) 

* MILWAUKEE is on a 36-40 SU and 25-50-1 ATS skid within the final 76 when enjoying on normal One Day Relaxation
1/6: Fade MILWAUKEE at Toronto
System Match (FADE): MILWAUKEE (-7.5 at TOR) 

* TORONTO is on a 31-17 SU and ATS run when enjoying a third Straight House sport
1/6: TORONTO vs. Milwaukee
System Match (PLAY): TORONTO (+7.5 vs MIL) 

* DETROIT is on a 15-4 Underneath the overall run when enjoying a third Straight House sport
1/6: Underneath the overall in DETROIT-PORTLAND
System Match (PLAY UNDER): POR-DET (o/u at 225.5) 

NBA Group Power Programs

The next handicapping data particulars 5 NBA betting tendencies for groups primarily based on varied group energy indicators or line eventualities. Except famous, these are from the final 4 NBA seasons. 

NBA Group Power Betting System #5:
Double-digit NBA video games have produced some definitive outcomes on totals during the last 4 seasons, relying on what sort of matchup it was. In divisional video games that includes double-digit strains, Underneath the overall has gone 92-79 (53.8%). In non-conference video games, Over the overall was 171-146 (53.9%). And eventually, in non-divisional convention video games, Over the overall was 242-187 (56.4%).
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): ORL-NYK (o/u at 210), IND-BKN (o/u at 223) 

NBA Excessive Stats Subsequent Sport Programs

These NBA betting tendencies seek for excessive statistical performances in NBA video games and element the outcomes of the follow-up sport for the groups. These programs are from the final 4 seasons except famous.

Permitting 135+ factors in a sport is an indication of hassle
NBA groups, off of a sport by which they allowed 135+ factors and are actually favored, have gone 139-83 SU however 99-119-4 ATS (45.4%) within the follow-up contest during the last six seasons. Included amongst that is an 84-106 ATS mark when not enjoying the subsequent day.
System Match (FADE): NEW YORK (-12.5 vs. ORL)

Rout wins are a warning signal for the subsequent contest for hosts
NBA house groups coming off any sport by which they beat the purpose unfold by 20 factors or extra are 264-208 SU however 205-255-12 ATS (44.6%) during the last 6 seasons.  The worst state of affairs for these groups comes towards divisional rivals, 36-63 ATS.
System Matches (FADE ALL): DETROIT (-6.5 vs. POR), PHILADELPHIA (-3.5 vs. PHX), SACRAMENTO (-3.5 vs. MIA) 

Uncommon taking pictures efficiency programs
NBA groups which have made 50% or extra of their 3PT area objective makes an attempt in a contest have responded the subsequent day trip by going simply 255-273 SU and 232-289-7 ATS (44.5%) within the subsequent sport during the last 4 seasons.
System Matches (FADE ALL): TORONTO (+7.5 vs. MIL), CHICAGO (+3 vs. SAS)

Equally, NBA groups which have made 20 or extra 3PT area targets in a sport have struggled the subsequent day trip, going simply 286-260 SU and 246-286-12 ATS (46.2%) the subsequent sport during the last 4 seasons.
System Match (FADE): CHICAGO (+3 vs. SAS)

Uncommon defensive performances
Alternatively to #13 above, NBA groups which have allowed 20 or extra 3PT area targets in a sport have rebounded effectively when favored the subsequent day trip, going 174-64 SU and 128-107-3 ATS (54.5%) during the last 4 seasons.
System Match (PLAY ALL): NEW YORK (-12.5 vs ORL), MEMPHIS (-5 vs DAL) 

NBA Streak Programs

The next handicapping data particulars 9 NBA betting tendencies for groups on profitable or dropping streaks of not less than 4 video games within the NBA.

NBA Streak Betting System #6:
Groups having misplaced their final 4 video games or extra have been a stable wager when they’re a succesful offensive group, as these scoring 114 PPG or extra are on a 68-77 SU and 80-63-3 ATS (55.9%) surge.
System Match (PLAY): DALLAS (+5 at MEM) 

Immediately’s NBA Power Scores

The next NBA betting tendencies are taken from as we speak’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS web page below the NBA tab on VSiN.com. Listed by group, present line, and distinction between score and present line (in parenthesis).

Immediately’s Prime 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS in accordance with the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Scores Matches:
1. LA CLIPPERS +2 (+2.6)
2. MIAMI +3.5 (+1.9)
3. CHICAGO +3 (+1.5) 

Immediately’s Prime 2 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES in accordance with the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Scores Matches:
1. NEW YORK -12.5 (+2.3)
2. PHILADELPHIA -3.5 (+1.2) 

Immediately’s Prime 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS in accordance with the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Scores Matches:
1. LA CLIPPERS +2 (+5.5)
2. BROOKLYN +10 (+3.5)
3. ORLANDO +12.5 (+1.5) 

Immediately’s Prime 3 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES in accordance with the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Scores Matches:
1. MEMPHIS -5 (+0.7)
2. PHILADELPHIA -3.5 (+0.4)
3. SAN ANTONIO -3 (+0.1) 

Immediately’s Prime 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER in accordance with the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Scores Matches:
1. IND-BKN OVER 223 (+3.6)
2. SAS-CHI OVER 236.5 (+1.2)
3. MIA-SAC OVER 223 (+0.5) 

Immediately’s Prime 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER in accordance with the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Scores Matches:
1. PHX-PHI UNDER 223.5 (-2.5)
2. ORL-NYK UNDER 210 (-2.3)
3. POR-DET UNDER 225.5 (-1.9) 

Immediately’s Prime 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS in accordance with the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Scores Matches:
1. LA CLIPPERS +2 (+2.3)
2. BROOKLYN +10 (+2.0)
3. CHICAGO +3 (+1.9) 

Immediately’s Prime 2 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES in accordance with the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Scores Matches:
1. PHILADELPHIA -3.5 (+1.4)
2. NEW YORK -12.5 (+0.8) 

Immediately’s Prime 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER in accordance with the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Scores Matches:
1. DAL-MEM OVER 232 (+3.9)
2. IND-BKN OVER 223 (+3.2)
3. MIA-SAC OVER 223 (+2.0) 

Immediately’s Prime 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER in accordance with the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Scores Matches:
1(tie). PHX-PHI UNDER 223.5 (-1.5)
ORL-NYK UNDER 210 (-1.5)
3. POR-DET UNDER 225.5 (-1.2) 

Prime Day by day Head-to-Head Collection NBA Betting Tendencies

Listed here are the highest head-to-head collection NBA betting tendencies in play for all of as we speak’s video games:

(513) PORTLAND at (514) DETROIT
* PORTLAND is 7-1 ATS within the final eight video games versus Detroit, however did lose final time
Pattern Match: PLAY PORTLAND ATS 

(517) ORLANDO at (518) NEW YORK
* Favorites are 9-2 ATS within the final 11 of the ORL-NYK collection
Pattern Match: PLAY NEW YORK ATS

* Underneath the overall is 10-2 within the final 12 matchups
Pattern Match: PLAY UNDER the overall

(521) INDIANA at (522) BROOKLYN
* Underdogs are 14-3-1 ATS within the final 18 of the IND-BKN collection
Pattern Match: PLAY BROOKLYN ATS 

(523) DALLAS at (524) MEMPHIS
* DALLAS has gained six straight ATS in conferences at Memphis
Pattern Match: PLAY DALLAS ATS 

(525) LA CLIPPERS at (526) MINNESOTA
* Underneath the overall is 5-1 within the final six of the LAC-MIN collection at Minnesota
Pattern Match: PLAY UNDER the overall 

(527) SAN ANTONIO at (528) CHICAGO
* Underneath the overall is 9-1 within the final 10 video games when SAS visits Chicago
Pattern Match: PLAY UNDER the overall 

(529) MIAMI at (530) SACRAMENTO
* Underdogs are 9-2 ATS within the final 11 video games between MIA and SAC in Sacramento
Pattern Match: PLAY MIAMI ATS